Summary
Visualising ESG issues holistically can reveal attractive opportunities in sectors that appear “ESG unfriendly” on conventional measures. This empowers investors and asset owners to direct capital where impact and long-term risk-adjusted returns meet in a practical and sensible manner, while minimising negative social and environmental impact.
The number of third-party ESG rating providers has increased significantly with the rising focus on sustainability. Third-party ESG ratings provide valuable inputs into investment frameworks, influencing portfolio outcomes. However, the variance between ESG ratings from different providers is much higher when compared to credit ratings, and this is true across sectors. Research shows that the correlations of ESG ratings across the major providers range from as low as 0.14 to 0.65. On the other hand, the correlation of credit ratings from different rating agencies is much higher, around 0.8 (Source: CFA Institute (2021)).
The lower correlations between the ESG ratings across providers partly result from different methodologies which assign different materiality weights to multiple ESG factors and the varying ways that raw data from different E, S and G dimensions are put together to form a score. It is challenging to achieve consistent ESG ratings given the multi-faceted nature of ESG analysis and the different methodologies that exist. Without a standardised guidance for ESG data, there are many ways to report the same issue which ESG rating providers need to interpret and compare. How different providers define peer groups and address data gaps also affect the ratings. Credit ratings are risk assessments, focused on assessing an issuer’s probability of default. In assessing default probability, the metrics and leverage ratios used as well as the data needed to calculate these ratios are more standardised. Hence, credit rating outcomes tend to be more aligned.
Visualising ESG issues holistically
We view ESG ratings more as “indicators” or informative analysis on the exposure of a company or sector to ESG risk and opportunity, rather than the final word on how companies score on ESG factors. As such, we treat third party ESG ratings as another data source which we can leverage to perform our own ESG analysis.
Our proprietary ESG scoring and integration tool leverages ESG data from external ESG rating sources but combines the data components using a proprietary framework. The framework makes use of our internal ESG materiality matrix which references the industry’s best in class frameworks such as the Sustainability Accounting Standards Board and the International Capital Market Association which further incorporates references to the Task Force on Climate related Financial Disclosures’ recommendations but includes additional context which increases relevancy to our investment universe. This adds a quantitative element and complements the bond team’s ESG framework which considers both an issuer’s ESG risk exposure and its preparedness to address those risks. We see portfolio construction as a layering process where we first consider the client’s needs, the client’s, and our Responsible Investment policies, after which we layer the bond team’s credit analysis with further ESG assessment.
Fig. 1. Eastspring ESG Visualiser
Source: Eastspring Investments. *Industry best practice materiality frameworks referenced include ICMA (which includes TCFD aligned material issues) and SASB, including materiality approaches from ISS, MSCI and Bloomberg ESG. Abbreviations: GICS: Global Industry Classification Standard, ICMA: The International Capital Market Association, TCFD: Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosures, SASB: Sustainability Accounting Standards Board, ISS: Institutional Shareholder Services.
Having a proprietary ESG scoring, and integration tool can allow investment teams to consider information which third party ESG rating providers may not offer a uniform assessment of. This can include forward looking ESG data such as exposure to climate transition opportunities or risks with impacts that scale over time e.g. physical climate risks. As mentioned above, a proprietary tool can provide greater context to current and potential holdings in the teams’ investment universe. This is important as the definition of material ESG issues may not be uniform across all markets especially at different stages of development. Importantly, proprietary tools also tend to be iterative, which means it can be continually enhanced by the investment teams’ ongoing inputs.
Case study: A nuanced view on Real world decarbonisation
We find that the financial institutions sector tends to function as a catalytic sector in ESG. As a regulated sector, financial institutions are often part of the public policy toolkit by which policymakers use to catalyse and regulate other sectors, to address ESG issues such as climate challenges and environmental and social risk management. Being intermediaries, the implications of financial institutions’ sustainability policies cascade down to their clients.
A holistic approach towards ESG analysis potentially allows investors to consider opportunities in sectors that may appear “ESG unfriendly” on conventional measures or based on third-party ESG ratings. The automatic exclusion of companies that are involved in or derive more than a certain percentage turnover from coal, for example, is contentious, especially in Asia, given that our coal plants are relatively young and coal phase-out presents a practical financial challenge. Also, coal forms a key part of the energy baseload in Asia and Emerging markets and strict exclusion would introduce other, perhaps social challenges.
Fig. 2. Average age of coal plants (years)
Source: IEA 2023.
It is important to look at companies’ holistic climate transition efforts and how they are tilting their business models to address the impact of climate change in a credible manner. One of Eastspring’s key Responsible Investment principles is that we prefer engagement to divestments and divestments are a last resort. We believe that investors and asset owners need to help companies decarbonise in a practical and sensible manner, that also minimises negative social and environmental impact. The importance of a just transition is also in line with the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s (MAS) efforts to help financial institutions in Singapore strike a balance between reducing financed emissions while financing credible decarbonisation.
Looking ahead: Moving towards greater convergence and better data
Various efforts are in place to help improve the quality, reliability, and comparability of ESG ratings. In Japan, the Financial Services Agency (FSA) finalised a new code of conduct for ESG ratings and data providers in December 2022. The MAS has also recently launched a public consultation on an industry code of conduct for providers of ESG ratings and data products. The call for similar regulation is gathering pace in Australia as the scale of ESG investment increases.
We are optimistic that the quality and consistency of ESG data and ratings will improve, and the different approaches will eventually converge. As such, the correlations of the ESG ratings across different third-party providers should rise over time. Against a constantly evolving ESG landscape with multiple, often conflicting inputs, having better quality and more standardised ESG data is helpful for active investors like us in our proprietary and, in combination, holistic ESG assessment.
Interesting reads
The information and views expressed herein do not constitute an offer or solicitation to deal in shares of any securities or financial instruments and it is not intended for distribution or use by anyone or entity located in any jurisdiction where such distribution would be unlawful or prohibited. The information does not constitute investment advice or an offer to provide investment advisory or investment management service or the solicitation of an offer to provide investment advisory or investment management services in any jurisdiction in which an offer or solicitation would be unlawful under the securities laws of that jurisdiction.
Past performance and the predictions, projections, or forecasts on the economy, securities markets or the economic trends of the markets are not necessarily indicative of the future or likely performance of Eastspring Investments or any of the strategies managed by Eastspring Investments. An investment is subject to investment risks, including the possible loss of the principal amount invested. Where an investment is denominated in another currency, exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value price or income of that investment. Furthermore, exposure to a single country market, specific portfolio composition or management techniques may potentially increase volatility.
Any securities mentioned are included for illustration purposes only. It should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell such securities. There is no assurance that any security discussed herein will remain in the portfolio at the time you receive this document or that security sold has not been repurchased.
The information provided herein is believed to be reliable at time of publication and based on matters as they exist as of the date of preparation of this report and not as of any future date. Eastspring Investments undertakes no (and disclaims any) obligation to update, modify or amend this document or to otherwise notify you in the event that any matter stated in the materials, or any opinion, projection, forecast or estimate set forth in the document, changes or subsequently becomes inaccurate. Eastspring Investments personnel may develop views and opinions that are not stated in the materials or that are contrary to the views and opinions stated in the materials at any time and from time to time as the result of a negative factor that comes to its attention in respect to an investment or for any other reason or for no reason. Eastspring Investments shall not and shall have no duty to notify you of any such views and opinions. This document is solely for information and does not have any regard to the specific investment objectives, financial or tax situation and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive this document.
Eastspring Investments Inc. (Eastspring US) primary activity is to provide certain marketing, sales servicing, and client support in the US on behalf of Eastspring Investment (Singapore) Limited (“Eastspring Singapore”). Eastspring Singapore is an affiliated investment management entity that is domiciled and registered under, among other regulatory bodies, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS). Eastspring Singapore and Eastspring US are both registered with the US Securities and Exchange Commission as a registered investment adviser. Registration as an adviser does not imply a level of skill or training. Eastspring US seeks to identify and introduce to Eastspring Singapore potential institutional client prospects. Such prospects, once introduced, would contract directly with Eastspring Singapore for any investment management or advisory services. Additional information about Eastspring Singapore and Eastspring US is also is available on the SEC’s website at www.adviserinfo.sec. gov.
Certain information contained herein constitutes "forward-looking statements", which can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "may", "will", "should", "expect", "anticipate", "project", "estimate", "intend", "continue" or "believe" or the negatives thereof, other variations thereof or comparable terminology. Such information is based on expectations, estimates and projections (and assumptions underlying such information) and cannot be relied upon as a guarantee of future performance. Due to various risks and uncertainties, actual events or results, or the actual performance of any fund may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forward-looking statements.
Eastspring Investments companies (excluding JV companies) are ultimately wholly-owned / indirect subsidiaries / associate of Prudential plc of the United Kingdom. Eastspring Investments companies (including JV’s) and Prudential plc are not affiliated in any manner with Prudential Financial, Inc., a company whose principal place of business is in the United States of America.